Sunday, November 20, 2011

ES Opens -1% As Oil, Gold, And FX Carry Leak Lower

While EURUSD had managed to clamber back into the green from a modest 25pip drop (bouncing off 1.3500), carry crosses (most specifically AUDJPY) are ebbing lower and Oil and Gold's soft opening is dragging equity futures to a dismal start. ES opened -13pts (around 1%), below its 50DMA (first time since 10/10) and at its lowest in over a month. With TSYs not open yet, ES is mildly lower than CONTEXT but we would expect the implicit shift in 2s10s30s to sync up with equity

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